Well, I think “post-mortem” was the appropriate title. But, what have we really learned about American politics from the mid-term results? How big was the Republican victory last Tuesday, and its mandate? How big a repudiation of the President and Democrats was it, really? And, what are the implications for the:
- next two years of national policy and gridlock
- 2016 presidential election
- likelihood that either major political party could build an enduring political coalition that can get things done
- state/local governance, which is now overwhelmingly in Republican hands?
I’ll open the meeting by summarizing (1) who won what and (2) why it happened, on which there’s a fair amount of consensus. Then, I’ll list some of the implications of the election outcome, not just on the next two years but also on what this election might tell us about the future of our political wars.
Results and Causes/Meaning–
- Why did the Republicans do so well? Recommended. Why did Democrats lose the Senate?
- 15 lessons from the election. (good conservative POV)
- For Democrats:
- For Republicans:
- It’s a huge vindication of their strategy of total obstruction.
- The GOP landslide in state/local elections is the real prize and matters most of all. Recommended.
- But, winning the Senate could cause the GOP to splinter and/or winning in 2014 could lead to GOP defeat in 2016.
- [NEW[ For Minorities: A huge loss of power, and influence, especially in the now completely White and Republican South.
- Open partisan warfare will continue as before. Recommended
- GOP Senate will keep trying to destroy Obama’s legacy. Recommended
- Judges: SCOTUS and judicial appointments matter the most.
- Foreign policy (the GOP hawks are back) and climate (oh, boy).
- Gridlock of our national government will continue until at least 2022. Recommended
Next Week: A fun break! What one event in U.S. history would you change??